Monthly Archives: November 2009

The Wall Street Journal, HBO and Faulty Extrapolation

I’ve been wanting to write for a while now about the infuriating continued tendency for media pundits to cite the’s paywall as a successful example of a business model for online journalism. I have yet to read or hear anyone point out the obvious difference between the Wall St. Journal and most other publications.  This key difference is that I am reasonably sure that a significant percentage of subscribers to the Wall St. Journal (in all formats, online included) are reimbursed by their employers  for their subscriptions and/or are simply given a free subscription in their names.  In general, it seems that businesses and the business media have trouble understanding this key aspect of consumer behavior.  If one’s employer pays for something, one considers it free – e.g. Blackberry data plans, Airport/Hotel WiFi, etc.  Trying to extrapolate this behavior into broader consumer adoption is plain silly.

Additionally, in general, it seems unwise to me to use a singular example (otherwise known as an exception) to try prove a rule.  Even if there was no special case for the WSJ as postulated above, all that this proves to me is that for most publications, consumers are unwilling to pay for a subscription.  Others, including the NY Times have tried and failed to charge for their content online. HBO is another case as one of the only television content providers able to extract a significant monthly subscription fee from a substantial population. Again, the exception should not be used as an example to follow. I would guess that CBS would not be able to charge $20/month for their programming, for example.

In general, I believe that consumers expect most digital goods to be free, particularly text/news. It’s just too easy to copy/paste/share to intuitively seem like it should cost money.  I do think that there is value in packaging/curating content online and that there will be some ability to charge for some content/aggregation, but I don’t think it will ever compare to the advertising model of traditional journalism.  Even subscription revenue for the is not nearly enough to cover lost ad revenues.  I think that display advertising has largely been a missed opportunity, and if done right should be able to garner as much/more revenue as offline ads were getting in Newspapers and Magazines before the past few years.  Instead of worshiping the false idols of and HBO, media companies need to get to work building compelling online experiences and new ad units and selling them to consumers and advertisers.